Question 1

How accurate is SetProb's tennis prediction model?

Accepted Answer

SetProb's model is 69% accurate overall (excluding low confidence picks under 58%). Elite signals (75%+) hit at 80%, Strong picks (68-74%) at 73%, Moderate picks (63-67%) at 66%, and Close matches (58-62%) at 60%.

Question 2

How does SetProb track prediction accuracy?

Accepted Answer

Every prediction is logged before the match and resolved against the actual result. The accuracy dashboard shows performance broken down by confidence tier, surface (clay, hard, grass), and tour (ATP, WTA, Challenger). All numbers are based on real verified predictions, not backtested data.

Question 3

What confidence tiers does SetProb use?

Accepted Answer

SetProb uses five confidence tiers: Elite (75%+) with 80% historical accuracy, Strong (68-74%) with 73% accuracy, Moderate (63-67%) with 66% accuracy, Close (58-62%) with 60% accuracy, and Low Confidence (50-57%) which is excluded from main stats as the match is essentially too close to call.

Question 4

Does SetProb predict ATP and WTA matches?

Accepted Answer

Yes. SetProb covers ATP, WTA, ATP Challenger and WTA 100/125 matches. Predictions are updated 5 times per day and accuracy is tracked separately by tour.

Confidence Tier	Games	Accuracy
Elite (75%+)	1463	80%
Strong (68–74%)	2482	73%
Moderate (63–67%)	4071	66%
Close (58–62%)	1225	60%
Low Confidence (50–57%) (excluded from main stats)	3129	54%